Category Archives: Economics

Unemployment Rate By HBCU State – November 2014

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NUMBER OF STATES WITH RISING UNEMPLOYMENT: 1

NUMBER OF STATES WITH DECLINING UNEMPLOYMENT: 22

NUMBER OF STATES WITH UNCHANGED UNEMPLOYMENT: 1

LOWEST: OKLAHOMA – 4.4%

HIGHEST – DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA – 7.4%

ALABAMA –  6.0% (6.3%)

ARKANSAS – 5.8% (6.0%)

CALIFORNIA – 7.2% (7.3%)

DELAWARE – 6.0% (6.4%)

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA – 7.4% (7.6%)

FLORIDA – 5.8% (6.0%)

GEORGIA – 7.2% (7.7%)

ILLINOIS – 6.4% (6.6%)

KENTUCKY – 6.0% (6.2%)

LOUISIANA – 6.5% (6.2%)

MARYLAND – 5.6% (6.0%)

MASSACHUSETTS – 5.8% (6.0%)

MICHIGAN – 6.7% (7.1%)

MISSISSIPPI – 7.3% (7.6%)

MISSOURI –  5.6% (5.9%)

NEW YORK – 5.9% (6.0%)

NORTH CAROLINA – 5.8% (6.3%)

OHIO – 5.0% (5.3%)

OKLAHOMA – 4.4% (4.5%)

PENNSYLVANIA – 5.1% (5.4%)

SOUTH CAROLINA – 6.7% (6.7%)

TENNESSEE – 6.8% (7.1%)

TEXAS – 4.9% (5.1%)

VIRGINIA – 5.0% (5.3%)

Previous month in parentheses.

African America’s December Jobs Report – 10.4%

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Overall Unemployment: 5.6% (5.8%)

African America Unemployment: 10.4% (11.1%)

Latino America Unemployment: 6.5% (6.6%)

European America Unemployment: 4.8% (4.9%)

Asian America Unemployment: 4.2% (4.8%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: The overall unemployment rate saw a 20 basis point decline. All groups saw declines in their unemployment rates last month with African America experiencing the largest drop of 70 basis points. African America continues to be the only group with double digit unemployment.

African American Male Unemployment: 11.0% (11.2%)

African American Female Unemployment: 8.2% (9.6%)

African American Teenage Unemployment: 33.2% (28.1%)

African American Male Participation: 67.8% (67.1%)

African American Female Participation: 61.2% (62.0%)

African American Teenage Participation: 29.0% (30.3%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: African American males got a rare combination of declining unemployment and rising participation as the former dropped 20 basis points while the latter rose 70 basis points, respectively. African American females received good news/bad news. Their unemployment rate dropped by 140 basis points, but the more important participation rate also dropped by 80 basis points. African American teenagers suffered a double blow of rising unemployment rate and declining participation rate with the former rising 510 basis points and the latter dropping 130 basis points, respectively.

CONCLUSION: The overall economy added 252 000 jobs in December and brought a close the best year of job growth the country has had in 15 years. African American picked up 93 000 jobs in December to close out 2014 and bringing the total job gains for the year to 812 000. An average of almost 68 000 jobs gained per month. African American females in the labor force showed a significant drop, but number of employed is at its highest in five months, which explains the significant drop in the unemployment rate for the women. African American women continue to be the key driver of economic health in African American households and as they go so goes the African American economy. The Teenage group has seen its ranks of employed drop to its second lowest number in the past five months after rare multi-month run of job gains. A fragile group that remains in crisis. Wages have remained stagnant, but with the collapse in oil prices many non-energy businesses and households are reaping extra income. Just how long they remain low is still up for debate, but could be an opportune time for households to catch up on bills, save some, and buffer for the coming end to seasonal work. African America now needs 101 000 jobs to reach the elusive single digit unemployment rate.

Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen’s December 2014 Press Conference (Video)

The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) held its last meeting of 2014 on December 17, 2014. As has become customary starting under the previous Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, a press conference is held thereafter giving the public and media an opportunity to ask questions of the sitting chair about current and/or future strategy and policy.

A few key points that were touched on in the press conference were falling oil prices, three committee member dissent of current policy direction, Russia’s impact on the global economy, and an emphasis that every meeting is a “live” meeting where the committee could alter their strategic policy.

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2014 Members of the Federal Open Market Committee

Unemployment Rate By HBCU State – October 2014

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NUMBER OF STATES WITH RISING UNEMPLOYMENT: 2

NUMBER OF STATES WITH DECLINING UNEMPLOYMENT: 19

NUMBER OF STATES WITH UNCHANGED UNEMPLOYMENT: 3

LOWEST: OKLAHOMA – 4.5%

HIGHEST – GEORGIA – 7.7%

ALABAMA –  6.3% (6.6%)

ARKANSAS – 6.0% (6.2%)

CALIFORNIA – 7.3% (7.3%)

DELAWARE – 6.4% (6.5%)

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA – 7.6% (7.7%)

FLORIDA – 6.0% (6.1%)

GEORGIA – 7.7% (7.9%)

ILLINOIS – 6.6% (6.6%)

KENTUCKY – 6.2% (6.7%)

LOUISIANA – 6.2% (6.0%)

MARYLAND – 6.0% (6.3%)

MASSACHUSETTS – 6.0% (6.0%)

MICHIGAN – 7.1% (7.2%)

MISSISSIPPI – 7.6% (7.7%)

MISSOURI –  5.9% (6.3%)

NEW YORK – 6.0% (6.2%)

NORTH CAROLINA – 6.3% (6.7%)

OHIO – 5.3% (5.6%)

OKLAHOMA – 4.5% (4.7%)

PENNSYLVANIA – 5.4% (5.7%)

SOUTH CAROLINA – 6.7% (6.6%)

TENNESSEE – 7.1% (7.3%)

TEXAS – 5.1% (5.2%)

VIRGINIA – 5.3% (5.5%)

Previous month in parentheses.

African America’s November Jobs Report – 11.1%

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Overall Unemployment: 5.8% (5.8%)

African America Unemployment: 11.1% (10.9%)

Latino America Unemployment: 6.6% (6.8%)

European America Unemployment: 4.9% (4.8%)

Asian America Unemployment: 4.8% (5.0%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: The overall unemployment rate went unchanged. Rising and falling unemployment was split between the four groups with African and European America both seeing blips upward and Latino and Asian America seeing blips downward. African America continues to be the only group with double digit unemployment.

African American Male Unemployment: 11.2% (10.7%)

African American Female Unemployment: 9.6% (9.4%)

African American Teenage Unemployment: 28.1% (32.6%)

African American Male Participation: 67.1% (67.7%)

African American Female Participation: 62.0% (61.4%)

African American Teenage Participation: 30.3% (29.0%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: African American males were hit with a double negative seeing their unemployment rate climb 50 basis points and their participation rate decline 60 basis points. African American females had their unemployment rate relatively unchanged with a slight uptick 20 basis points, but a healthy climb in participation rates of 60 basis points. African American teenagers achieved a double positive with their unemployment rate dropping an unprecedented 450 basis points and their participation rate increasing 130 basis points.

CONCLUSION: The overall economy added 321 000 jobs in November. This is the biggest gain of jobs in nearly three years and marks at least ten months of at least 200 000 job gains or more which has not happen in almost thirty years. African America added just 31 000 jobs in November; a rebound from its loss of 41 000 jobs the previous month. In the overall economy white-collar jobs led the way, but the same is not true for African America. African American teenagers led the way with a 56 000 jobs breaking through 500 000 plus employed for the first time this year. A much needed boost for a much maligned group. African American females also had a healthy gain of 86 000 jobs and reaching their second highest participation rate in the past five months. Unfortunately, with African American males in the decline African America now needs 222 000 jobs added to get its unemployment rate to the mythical 9.9 percent. An increase from last month’s 210 000 needed.