Tag Archives: jobs

African America’s August Jobs Report – 11.4%

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Overall Unemployment: 6.1% (6.2%)

African America Unemployment: 11.4% (11.4%)

Latino America Unemployment: 7.5% (7.8%)

European America Unemployment: 5.3% (5.3%)

Asian America Unemployment: 4.5% (4.5%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: The overall unemployment rate dropped 10 basis points. Unemployment rates for African, Asian, and European America went unchanged. Latino America saw its unemployment rate drop 30 basis points. African America remains the only group with double digit unemployment.

African American Male Unemployment: 10.8% (11.1%)

African American Female Unemployment: 10.6% (10.1%)

African American Teenage Unemployment: 32.8% (34.9%)

African American Male Participation: 67.3% (68.0%)

African American Female Participation: 61.5% (62.3%)

African American Teenage Participation: 25.9% (25.3%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: African American males saw their unemployment rate drop 30 basis points and participation rate drop 70 basis points. African American females unemployment rate rose 50 basis points and participation rate drop 80 basis points. African American teenagers unemployment rate dropped 210 basis points and participation rate rose by 60 basis points.

CONCLUSION: The overall economy added 142 000 jobs in August. A significant disappointment from most economist estimates. After 3 straight months of job growth for African America, the growth came to a bruising halt in August with a loss of 76 000 jobs. No group suffered more than African American women who loss 155 000 jobs dropping to their second lowest number of employed over the past 5 months. A disturbing notion since African American women continue to be the cornerstone of the economic health for African American families. Despite the losses, the number of African Americans employed and participation rate are both still the second highest they have been in the past 5 months. The real question is whether this is the start of a trend downward for African America or just a temporary blip. It would take 291 000 jobs to get the African American unemployment rate to 9.9 percent.

African America’s July Jobs Report – 11.4%

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Overall Unemployment: 6.2% (6.1%)

African America Unemployment: 11.4% (10.7%)

Latino America Unemployment: 7.8% (7.8%)

European America Unemployment: 5.3% (5.3%)

Asian America Unemployment: 4.5% (5.1%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: The overall unemployment rate rose 10 basis points. European and Latino Americans saw their unemployment rates go unchanged. Asian America saw a 60 basis point decline in their unemployment rate. African America was the only group to see an increase rising 70 basis points and remaining the only group with double digit unemployment.

African American Male Unemployment: 11.1% (10.9%)

African American Female Unemployment: 10.1% (9.0%)

African American Teenage Unemployment: 34.9% (33.4%)

African American Male Participation: 68.0% (67.5%)

African American Female Participation: 62.3% (61.4%)

African American Teenage Participation: 27.3% (25.2%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: African American males saw their unemployment rate rise 20 basis points, but also experienced a healthy increase in their participation rate of 50 basis points. African American females short lived single digit unemployment rose 110 basis points, but they also experienced a rise in their participation rate of 90 basis points. African American teenagers continue to struggle with a rise of 150 basis points in their unemployment rate and only a negligible rise in their participation rate.

CONCLUSION: The overall economy added 209 000 jobs in July. Economist overall believe the economy is finally showing signs of healthy and stable recovery as job increases continue over 200 000 per month. African America picked up 69 000 new jobs and set another five month high of employed at almost 16.9 million. The momentum for hiring has definitely picked up African American optimism as the labor force increased by over 200 000, which is the reason the unemployment rate had such a spike. It also speaks to the fact that hiring can not keep pace with the number of African Americans seeking jobs. African American men and women are experiencing five month highs in labor force, employed, and participation rate. Unfortunately, teenagers continue their crisis with a five month low in employed population. The question is can this economy continue its recovery or as the Federal Reserve inches closer to raising interest rates will the usual adage of last hire and first fired come true once again.

African America’s June Jobs Report – 10.7%

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Overall Unemployment: 6.1% (6.3%)

African America Unemployment: 10.7% (11.5%)

Latino America Unemployment: 7.8% (7.7%)

European America Unemployment: 5.3% (5.4%)

Asian America Unemployment: 5.1% (5.3%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: The overall unemployment rate dropped 20 basis points. Latino America was the only group to see a rise in their unemployment rate ticking up 10 basis points. African America saw the largest decline with an 80 basis point drop. Asian and European Americans saw drops of 20 and 10 basis points, respectively. African America continues to be the only group with double digit unemployment.

African American Male Unemployment: 10.9% (11.5%)

African American Female Unemployment: 9.0% (10.0%)

African American Teenage Unemployment: 33.4% (31.1%)

African American Male Participation: 67.5% (66.8%)

African American Female Participation: 61.4% (61.2%)

African American Teenage Participation: 27.8% (27.9%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: African American males see a drop of 60 basis points in their unemployment rate and an increase in 70 basis points in their participation rate. African American females saw a drop of 100 basis points in their unemployment rate, but a tempered increase of only 20 basis points in their participation rate. African American teenagers suffer a number of setbacks with increases in their unemployment rate by 230 basis points and decrease in participation rate by 10 basis points.

CONCLUSION: The overall economy added 288 000 jobs in June. Significantly more than economist expected after previous months failed to live up to expectations. African America picked up 220 000 jobs in June, completely shattering the abysmal previous months job growth. However, despite this record breaking month of jobs the participation rate is virtually unmoved. An increase of 20 basis points to 61.0 percent, which is not even the high among the previous five months. African America’s participation rate continues to be stuck in a tight band between 60.5 to 61.5 percent. Both men and women were net gainers of jobs for African America, but women who picked up the most jobs have a participation rate that is still the second lowest it has been over the past five months. The teenage group which is highly vulnerable is backsliding at a time of year when teenage unemployment should be picking up. The economy for all intentions “feels” better, but African America could be in for a rude awakening after the midterm elections if the Federal Reserve starts to hint at a rate hike, which might cause companies to lay workers off to keep their equity prices at their current levels. Currently, African American needs approximately 150 000 jobs to get its unemployment rate to 9.9 percent.

 

African America’s May Unemployment Report – 11.6%

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Overall Unemployment: 6.3% (6.3%)

African America Unemployment: 11.5% (11.6%)

Latino America Unemployment: 7.7% (7.3%)

European America Unemployment: 5.4% (5.3%)

Asian America Unemployment: 5.3% (5.7%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: The overall unemployment rate remained unchanged. Group increases and decreases were evenly split. African and Asian America saw drops of 10 and 40 basis points, respectively. European and Latino America saw increases of 10 and 40 basis points, respectively. African America remains the only group with a double digit unemployment rate.

African American Male Unemployment: 11.5% (10.8%)

African American Female Unemployment: 10.0% (10.4%)

African American Teenage Unemployment: 31.1% (36.8%)

African American Male Participation: 66.8% (66.4%)

African American Female Participation: 61.2% (61.7%)

African American Teenage Participation: 27.8% (27.9%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: African American males saw an increase of 70 basis points in their unemployment rate, but also saw an increase in their participation rate of 40 basis points. African American females saw a decline of 40 basis points in their unemployment rate, but also saw a decline of 50 basis points in their participation rate. African American teenagers saw an unprecedented drop of 570 basis points in their unemployment rate and essentially held steady their participation rate.

Conclusion: The overall economy added 217 000 jobs in the month of May. After a stellar past few months of job growth in African America, momentum slowed to a halt in May with only 8 000 jobs added in the month of May. The participation rate dropped 10 basis points, but essentially has not moved out of its 5 month band meaning actual employment numbers even with the appearance of jobs being added are dead in the water. African American women’s sudden drop in participation rate is alarming and unexpected. The backbone of African America’s fragile economy given their propensity to be head of household and/or breadwinner means sudden shifts in their employment state has immediate impacts on families and communities. African American teenagers actually showed real inroads to their employment crisis picking up 38 000 jobs and holding their labor force numbers steady which prompted an acute drop in their unemployment rate and substantive increase in their participation rate. Despite this shining beacon of success the overall African American employment situation is stagnant. African America’s current labor force would need to add 300 000 jobs in one month to get the unemployment rate to 9.9 percent.

Recipe To Get African America’s Unemployment Rate Under 10 Percent – Add Almost 500,000 Jobs And Stir

By William A. Foster, IV

Had I not gone through the ordeal, in more than one country, of landing a job, I would be tempted to lose patience over the number of letters pouring in from fellows who want me or someone else to hand them a job on a silver platter with a guarantee that they will receive the wonderful promotion their talents warrant. But a tragic number of young men and even older men have a notion that it is not up to them to prosecute the bettering process. They look to someone else to perform the trick for them. — B.C. Forbes

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Imagine for a moment me, a Texan and southerner, moving to Boston for the first time as I did many years ago adjusting to the weather. To say it was a shock would be an understatement. After thinking I had made it through “winter” because I made it through December – Houston winter logic for sure – I was informed that winter was just starting. Wait, what? In Houston, we are warming back up in the 70s by February. Boston was my first time experiencing single digit weather week. Then to experience it for weeks on end made me wonder how anyone in their right mind lived here. It was cold and it was not letting up, but then a strange thing would happen. One day it would happen to creep into the high twenties or low thirties and I would see people out in shorts and riding around with tops down on their convertibles. Insert every confused face one could have. The reality was that after weeks of single digits a dramatic move up even to a temperature still considered freezing would psychologically make them think it was warm. This in a nutshell is what is happening to African America and its “improving” employment situation. It is so bad that even a modest move up makes us feel excited.

The notion of improvement is one thing, but knowing where a healthy unemployment rate versus improving unemployment rate is another. Our goal can not be to simply get the unemployment rate to single digits, but to get it to a competitive rate which currently is around 5 percent. A mark that seems like it would take a miracle for us to get too with our current dependency on affirmative action and the public sector. The reality is despite our dependency on these two things, it is African American companies of which there are not enough, which offer us the best hope. Currently, African American firms with paid employees represent 0.4 percent of all firms in America, but have employees equivalent to approximately 5 percent of the African American labor force.

Every month here at HBCU Money, we release the African American Unemployment Report the Monday after the nation’s job report is released on the first Friday of every month. It gives month to month statistics and analysis along with a rolling five month overview as well. One analysis every month without fail is that “African America remains the only group with double digit unemployment rate” when reviewing the country’s different groups and their unemployment rates.  Currently, African America’s unemployment rate is 450, 660, and 700 basis points higher than Latino, European, and Asian America’s, respectively. The latter having the lowest unemployment rate in the country of any diaspora group. So much for that oppressed minority and people of color boat we keep thinking we are in with Asians and Latinos. The gap between us and other groups – even our “color comrades” – is not even close.

So how many jobs would it take to at least get us to the 9.9 percentage unemployment rate? Approximately 462 000 jobs would be needed at our current labor force based on March’s African American unemployment report. I must admit when I first calculated it was followed with a deep sigh. At the moment, the country as a whole can not even produce 200 000 jobs a month as we are still paying the cost for decades of an over leveraged and an inordinate consumption economy. Over the past five months African America’s job growth has been averaging 62 000 jobs per month, but over the same period the country is averaging 140 000 jobs per month. In other words, we would need an increase of 122 percent just to match the nation’s average in job creation.

Job creation is no easy task for a country or community. It takes a healthy banking sector first and foremost. This allows an increase in mortgages and equity lines. Those in turn also allow people to borrow against their homes for loans or to use their home to secure Small Business Administration loans through their bank to start a business in their community. It would also require those home purchases to be in African American communities. Small businesses tend to be based in or near the communities they live in. The exception it seems in the African American community where businesses are predominantly owned by outsiders that drain the community of capital and employment opportunities. The ingredients may seem simple enough, but we all know cooking a great meal can take all day and when it is hot most do not want to stay in the kitchen.