Tag Archives: african american unemployment

African America’s January Jobs Report – 7.7%

Posted on February 5, 2017 by | Leave a comment

jobs

Overall Unemployment: 4.8% (4.7%)

African America Unemployment: 7.7% (7.8%)

Latino America Unemployment: 5.9% (5.9%)

European America Unemployment: 4.3% (4.3%)

Asian America Unemployment: 3.7% (2.6%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: Overall unemployment rose 10 basis points. African America was the only decline in unemployment rate with a decrease of 10 basis points. Asian America saw the largest increase with a rise of 110 basis points European and Latino America both went unchanged.

African American Male Unemployment: 7.6% (7.3%)

African American Female Unemployment: 6.7% (6.8%)

African American Teenage Unemployment: 26.9% (25.7%)

African American Male Participation: 68.1% (67.7%)

African American Female Participation: 62.6% (62.3%)

African American Teenage Participation: 30.4% (27.6%)

Analysis: African American men saw a 30 basis point increase in their unemployment and 40 basis point increase in their participation rate. African American women saw a 10 basis point decrease in their unemployment rate and 30 basis point increase in their participation rate. African American teenagers saw a 120 basis point increase in their unemployment rate and a 280 basis point increase in their participation rate.

CONCLUSION: The overall economy added 227 000 jobs in January. A noticeable difference from the 156 000 in December. African America added a sizzling 153 000 jobs in January to begin the year. The official last jobs report for the Obama administration and the first jobs report of the Trump administration. For the Trump administration, this jobs report could largely signal how the business community feels about the incoming presidency and the momentum since the election. It appears that yes, even African America feels optimistic. A real surprise if you take the pulse of social media, but social media can often be a contradictory bubble highlighting people’s social values and not necessarily their economic needs or perceptions. In all fairness, the inertia in the fundamentals of the economy are driving much of this and regardless of who was going to be president there appears to be a bit more room to run in economic growth. A fact that could lead to a record breaking 20 million African Americans going into the labor force if the trend holds up in February.

African America currently needs 662 000 jobs to match America’s unemployment rate. An increase of 43 000 jobs from December.

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African America’s November Jobs Report – 8.6%

Posted on December 5, 2016 by | Leave a comment

jobs

Overall Unemployment: 4.6% (4.9%)

African America Unemployment: 8.1% (8.6%)

Latino America Unemployment: 5.7% (5.7%)

European America Unemployment: 4.2% (4.3%)

Asian America Unemployment: 3.0% (3.4%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: Overall unemployment dropped 30 basis points to its lowest since August 2007. All groups except Latino America saw a decline in their unemployment rate, who saw their unemployment rate go unchanged. African, Asian, and European America saw declines of 50, 40, and 10 basis points, respectively.

African American Male Unemployment: 7.7% (8.7%)

African American Female Unemployment: 7.1% (7.1%)

African American Teenage Unemployment: 26.6% (27.6%)

African American Male Participation: 67.5% (67.5%)

African American Female Participation: 62.6% (62.3%)

African American Teenage Participation: 28.0% (28.3%)

Analysis: African American men saw a 100 basis point decrease in their unemployment and no change in their participation rate. African American women saw no change in their unemployment rate and 30 basis point increase in their participation rate. African American teenagers saw a 100 basis point decrease in their unemployment rate and a 30 basis point decrease in their participation rate.

CONCLUSION: The overall economy added 178 000 jobs in November. A noticeable difference from the 161 000 in October. African America added a substantial 154 000 jobs in November. Leading to the highest African American employed numbers in the past five months. Unfortunately, despite such robust jobs growth in the month, the participation rate for African American moved only 10 basis points. The participation rate simply refusing to break from this five month bandwidth. All key variables were in the green in an unprecedented fashion, participation rate aside. The labor force increased, employed increased, and unemployed went down. December looms with a rate hike on the horizon and just how it will impact economic planning by small and big businesses alike will not be known for months. The psychological impact of the moment alone will be of significant given one has not happen in almost ten years. Also of note, for the first time since December of 2015, average hourly earnings took a dip.

African America currently needs 505 000 jobs to match America’s unemployment rate. A decrease of 218 000 jobs from October.

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African America’s October Jobs Report – 8.6%

Posted on November 13, 2016 by | Leave a comment

jobs

Overall Unemployment: 4.9% (5.0%)

African America Unemployment: 8.6% (8.3%)

Latino America Unemployment: 5.7% (6.4%)

European America Unemployment: 4.3% (4.4%)

Asian America Unemployment: 3.4% (3.9%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: Overall unemployment was virtually unchanged. All groups except African America saw a decline in their unemployment rate, who saw a 30 basis point increase in their unemployment rate. Asian, European, and Latino America saw declines of 50, 10, and 70 basis points, respectively.

African American Male Unemployment: 8.7% (8.2%)

African American Female Unemployment: 7.1% (7.0%)

African American Teenage Unemployment: 27.6% (27.2%)

African American Male Participation: 67.5% (67.5%)

African American Female Participation: 62.3% (62.3%)

African American Teenage Participation: 28.3% (30.2%)

Analysis: African American men saw a 50 basis point increase in their unemployment and no change in their participation rate. African American women saw a 10 basis point increase in their unemployment rate and no change in their participation rate. African American teenagers saw a 40 basis point increase in their unemployment rate and a 190 basis point decrease in their participation rate.

CONCLUSION: The overall economy added 161 000 jobs in October. A marginal difference between the 156 000 in September. African America saw a decline of 70 000 jobs in October. The last jobs report before 2016 U.S. presidential election. What does African America’s outlook like now there is a president-elect Donald Trump? It is truly hard to say. The natural reaction is visceral, but there is the possibility that his election continues to galvanize African America to invest in itself and become less dependent on other groups.

African America currently needs 723 000 jobs to match America’s unemployment rate. An increase of 89 000 jobs from August.

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African America’s July Jobs Report – 8.4%

Posted on August 8, 2016 by | Leave a comment

jobs

Overall Unemployment: 4.9% (4.9%)

African America Unemployment: 8.4% (8.6%)

Latino America Unemployment: 5.4% (5.8%)

European America Unemployment: 4.3% (4.4%)

Asian America Unemployment: 3.8% (3.5%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: Overall unemployment was unchanged. All groups except Asian America saw a decline in their unemployment rate, who saw a 30 basis point increase in their unemployment rate. Latino America led the way with the largest decrease of 40 basis points, followed by African America’s 20 basis points, and lastly, European America’s 10 basis points.

African American Male Unemployment: 8.2% (8.2%)

African American Female Unemployment: 7.3% (7.3%)

African American Teenage Unemployment: 25.7% (31.2%)

African American Male Participation: 67.7% (67.8%)

African American Female Participation: 61.0% (60.9%)

African American Teenage Participation: 27.7% (29.2%)

Analysis: African American men unemployment rate was unchanged, with 10 basis point decrease in their participation rate. African American women unemployment rate was also unchanged, but a 10 basis point increase in their participation rate. African American teenagers had an decrease of 550 basis points in their unemployment rate, but had a worrisome 150 basis point decrease in their participation rate.

CONCLUSION: The overall economy added 255 000 jobs in July. African America added only 31 000 jobs in July, a decline from June’s AAJR of 32 000. Again, two straight months of anemic jobs growth for African America after adding 122 000 jobs in May. However, these figures are in line with traditional jobs growth for African America, while May was an anomaly. If there is a current silver lining for African America, it is our banking industry. With an explosion in new deposits and demand for even more new deposits, African American owned banks and credit unions could see a need to increase employment to handle the new demand. That is the short term optimism, while the long term gain could be in new lending for African American small businesses.

African America currently needs 680 000 jobs to match America’s unemployment rate.

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African America’s June Jobs Report – 8.6%

Posted on July 11, 2016 by | Leave a comment

jobs

Overall Unemployment: 4.9% (4.7%)

African America Unemployment: 8.6% (8.2%)

Latino America Unemployment: 5.8% (5.6%)

European America Unemployment: 4.4% (4.1%)

Asian America Unemployment: 3.5% (4.1%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: Overall unemployment rose 20 basis points. All groups except Asian America saw a rise in their unemployment rate, who saw a 60 basis point decline in their unemployment rate. African America led the way with the largest increase of 40 basis points, followed by European America’s 30 basis points, and Latino America’s 20 basis points.

African American Male Unemployment: 8.2% (7.6%)

African American Female Unemployment: 7.3% (7.4%)

African American Teenage Unemployment: 31.2% (27.1%)

African American Male Participation: 67.8% (67.1%)

African American Female Participation: 60.9% (61.0%)

African American Teenage Participation: 29.2% (28.7%)

Analysis: African American men had a increase of 60 basis points in their unemployment rate, but also experienced a 70 basis point increase in their participation rate. African American women had a decrease of 10 basis points in their unemployment rate, but a 10 basis point decrease in their participation rate. African American teenagers had an increase of 410 basis points in their unemployment rate, but only experienced a 50 basis point increase in their participation rate.

CONCLUSION: The overall economy added 287 000 jobs in June. African America added only 32 000 jobs in June, making May look like an anomaly when African America gained more jobs than the overall economy. It is hard to be overly excited about June’s numbers after May produced only 38 000 jobs overall. A student who gets a 100 and a 0 on test, still has a F average. However, if July delivers a modestly decent number, it could allow the Federal Reserve to put a rate hike back in play for September, which we are still not sure the economy or market is ready for, but desperately needs to heal itself from a decade of fictional interest rates. The fictional interest rates have killed lending and savings and therefore hampered the creation of small business creation in the country. Those are long-term issues though, but issues nonetheless. In the short term, cultural backlash against African America may have some negative labor impact for the rest of the year given African America’s employment dependency on others.

African America needs to create 721 000 jobs to match the nation’s overall unemployment rate.

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