Author Archives: hbcumoney

Recipe To Get African America’s Unemployment Rate Under 10 Percent – Add Almost 500,000 Jobs And Stir

By William A. Foster, IV

Had I not gone through the ordeal, in more than one country, of landing a job, I would be tempted to lose patience over the number of letters pouring in from fellows who want me or someone else to hand them a job on a silver platter with a guarantee that they will receive the wonderful promotion their talents warrant. But a tragic number of young men and even older men have a notion that it is not up to them to prosecute the bettering process. They look to someone else to perform the trick for them. — B.C. Forbes

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Imagine for a moment me, a Texan and southerner, moving to Boston for the first time as I did many years ago adjusting to the weather. To say it was a shock would be an understatement. After thinking I had made it through “winter” because I made it through December – Houston winter logic for sure – I was informed that winter was just starting. Wait, what? In Houston, we are warming back up in the 70s by February. Boston was my first time experiencing single digit weather week. Then to experience it for weeks on end made me wonder how anyone in their right mind lived here. It was cold and it was not letting up, but then a strange thing would happen. One day it would happen to creep into the high twenties or low thirties and I would see people out in shorts and riding around with tops down on their convertibles. Insert every confused face one could have. The reality was that after weeks of single digits a dramatic move up even to a temperature still considered freezing would psychologically make them think it was warm. This in a nutshell is what is happening to African America and its “improving” employment situation. It is so bad that even a modest move up makes us feel excited.

The notion of improvement is one thing, but knowing where a healthy unemployment rate versus improving unemployment rate is another. Our goal can not be to simply get the unemployment rate to single digits, but to get it to a competitive rate which currently is around 5 percent. A mark that seems like it would take a miracle for us to get too with our current dependency on affirmative action and the public sector. The reality is despite our dependency on these two things, it is African American companies of which there are not enough, which offer us the best hope. Currently, African American firms with paid employees represent 0.4 percent of all firms in America, but have employees equivalent to approximately 5 percent of the African American labor force.

Every month here at HBCU Money, we release the African American Unemployment Report the Monday after the nation’s job report is released on the first Friday of every month. It gives month to month statistics and analysis along with a rolling five month overview as well. One analysis every month without fail is that “African America remains the only group with double digit unemployment rate” when reviewing the country’s different groups and their unemployment rates.  Currently, African America’s unemployment rate is 450, 660, and 700 basis points higher than Latino, European, and Asian America’s, respectively. The latter having the lowest unemployment rate in the country of any diaspora group. So much for that oppressed minority and people of color boat we keep thinking we are in with Asians and Latinos. The gap between us and other groups – even our “color comrades” – is not even close.

So how many jobs would it take to at least get us to the 9.9 percentage unemployment rate? Approximately 462 000 jobs would be needed at our current labor force based on March’s African American unemployment report. I must admit when I first calculated it was followed with a deep sigh. At the moment, the country as a whole can not even produce 200 000 jobs a month as we are still paying the cost for decades of an over leveraged and an inordinate consumption economy. Over the past five months African America’s job growth has been averaging 62 000 jobs per month, but over the same period the country is averaging 140 000 jobs per month. In other words, we would need an increase of 122 percent just to match the nation’s average in job creation.

Job creation is no easy task for a country or community. It takes a healthy banking sector first and foremost. This allows an increase in mortgages and equity lines. Those in turn also allow people to borrow against their homes for loans or to use their home to secure Small Business Administration loans through their bank to start a business in their community. It would also require those home purchases to be in African American communities. Small businesses tend to be based in or near the communities they live in. The exception it seems in the African American community where businesses are predominantly owned by outsiders that drain the community of capital and employment opportunities. The ingredients may seem simple enough, but we all know cooking a great meal can take all day and when it is hot most do not want to stay in the kitchen.

 

African America’s April Unemployment Report – 11.6%

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Overall Unemployment: 6.3% (6.7%)

African America Unemployment: 11.6% (12.4%)

Latino America Unemployment: 7.3% (7.9%)

European America Unemployment: 5.3% (5.8%)

Asian America Unemployment: 5.7% (5.4%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: The overall unemployment saw a decrease of 40 basis points. Asian America was the only group to see an increase in its unemployment rate with an increase of 30 basis points. African, European, and Latino America all saw declines in their unemployment rates at 80, 50, and 60 basis points, respectively. African America remains only group with double digit unemployment.

African American Male Unemployment: 10.8% (12.1%)

African American Female Unemployment: 10.4% (11.0%)

African American Teenage Unemployment: 36.8% (36.1%)

African American Male Participation: 66.4% (67.0%)

African American Female Participation: 61.7% (62.0%)

African American Teenage Participation: 27.9% (25.6%)

Previous month in parentheses.

Analysis: African American male and females both saw declines in their unemployment rates at 130 and 60 basis point drops, respectively. African American teenagers saw an increase of 70 basis points. Participation rates for the male and female groups both saw declines at 60 and 30 basis points, respectively. The teenage group saw an increase of 230 basis points.

Conclusion: The overall economy added 288 000 jobs in the month of April. An increase of 96 000 jobs from March and higher than economists consensus expectations. African America added 119 000 jobs, marking its largest job increase in the past five months. Even with the increase in jobs it comes with some pause. The participation rate can not seem to break out of its band and experienced a drop despite the increase in jobs. There is obvious optimism in the African American economy, but there is not enough of a trend to know if this momentary increase will sustain itself. This is particularly of concern with the government jobs continuing to shrink, where African America is overly dependent on the public sector. Government jobs are at its lowest mark since the recession began and of worth note to continue to watch.

HBCU Money™ Business Book Feature – The Rise and Fall of the Conglomerate Kings

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This is the behind-the-scenes story of the financial wizards and bare-knuckled businessmen who created the conglomerates, the glamorous multi-form companies that marked the high noon of post-World War II American capitalism. Covering the period from the end of the war to 1983, Robert Sobel explains why and how the conglomerate movement originated, how it mushroomed, and what caused its startling and rapid decline.

HBCU Money™ Dozen 4/28 – 5/2

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Did you miss HBCU Money™ Dozen via Twitter? No worry. We are now putting them on the site for you to visit at your leisure. We have made some changes here at HBCU Money™ Dozen. We are now solely focused on research and central bank articles from the previous week.

Research

Undersea warfare: Viruses hijack deep-sea bacteria at hydrothermal vents l NSF http://1.usa.gov/1ufJ3k8

How-to Make the Most of Your New Twitter Profile l CIOonline http://trib.al/5O16UiP

Apple’s Great Green Progress l Clean Technica http://dlvr.it/5YWDLF

Newest sighting of element 117 brings it one step closer to periodic table glory l New Scientist http://ow.ly/wqTu7

$9 million in grant funding for clean diesel projects. Propose a project before 6/17 l EPA http://www.http://go.usa.gov/ksVT

Bees and butterflies drink tears straight from crocodile’s eyes l New Scientist http://ow.ly/wqTEC

Federal Reserve, Central Banks, & Financial Departments

Rise and fall of U.S. labor force participation l St. Louis Fed http://bit.ly/1iHjQeO

Africa now has more than 90 tech hubs. l World Bank http://wrld.bg/wo5xC

Paying down credit card debt: a breakdown by income and age l St. Louis Fed http://bit.ly/Q9pc6m

Food security stats play fundamental role in estimating level of food & nutrient consumption l World Bank http://wrld.bg/wkON4

North Korea: Rising home prices in America create homelessness l Housing Wire http://hwi.re/5YVyKm

Urban Institute: Lending standards aren’t getting looser l Housing Wire http://hwi.re/5YVhx4

Thank you as always for joining us on Saturday for HBCU Money™ Dozen. The 12 most important research and finance articles of the week.

The HBCU Money™ Weekly Market Watch

Our Money Matters /\ May 2, 2014

A weekly snapshot of African American owned public companies and HBCU Money™ tracked African stock exchanges.

NAME TICKER PRICE (GAIN/LOSS %)

African American Publicly Traded Companies

Citizens Bancshares Georgia (CZBS) $8.00 (0.00% UNCH)

M&F Bancorp (MFBP) $4.53 (0.00% UNCH)

Radio One (ROIA) $4.42 (0.45% UP)

African Stock Exchanges

Bourse Regionale des Valeurs Mobilieres (BRVM)  229.85 (3.43% DN)

Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE)  8 848.28 (0.37% DN)

Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE)  2 255.27 (5.13% UP)*

Nairobi Stock Exchange (NSE)  151.85 (N/A)

Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) 49 091.16 (0.45% UP)

International Stock Exchanges

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) 10 645.16 (0.15% UP)

London Stock Exchange (LSE)  3 642.52 (0.25% UP)

Tokyo Stock Exchange (TOPIX)  1 182.48 (0.02% UP)

Commodities

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